Najran vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 0
NAJ
62%
20%
18%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 1
NAJ
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2012 |
NAJ
0 - 4
ALA
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
3 - 3
NAJ
62%
22%
17%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
NAJ
0 - 0
ALF
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ALS
3 - 2
ALR
69%
20%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2012 |
ALR
1 - 2
ALF
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 1
ALR
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ALF
2 - 1
ALR
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2011 |
ALR
1 - 4
ALN
32%
26%
42%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |