Najran vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
ALN
6 - 1
NAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
NAJ
0 - 3
ALH
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2010 |
ALF
2 - 0
NAJ
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
NAJ
4 - 0
ALH
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
ALW
2 - 0
NAJ
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
ALR
2 - 2
ALS
30%
27%
42%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2010 |
ALA
1 - 2
ALR
66%
21%
13%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2010 |
ALR
0 - 0
ALF
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2010 |
ALR
0 - 4
ALH
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2010 |
ALQ
1 - 1
ALR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |