Najran vs Al-Raed analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ALF
0 - 1
NAJ
50%
26%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALA
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
NAJ
0 - 5
ALW
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
NAJ
2 - 3
ALI
23%
24%
53%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
ALN
3 - 2
NAJ
70%
20%
10%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Raed
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
ALR
2 - 0
ALQ
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ALH
2 - 1
ALR
71%
19%
10%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ALR
1 - 1
ALS
24%
26%
50%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
ALI
3 - 0
ALR
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2010 |
ALR
1 - 1
ALH
31%
26%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |