Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2010 |
NAJ
3 - 2
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ALH
3 - 1
NAJ
53%
25%
23%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2010 |
ALH
2 - 1
NAJ
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
ANS
1 - 3
NAJ
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
NAJ
2 - 1
ALI
20%
20%
60%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
ALH
1 - 1
ALN
49%
24%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
ALN
3 - 5
ALH
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ALN
1 - 3
ALA
52%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2010 |
ALA
0 - 3
ALN
49%
24%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2010 |
WAS
4 - 2
ALN
28%
24%
48%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | -1 |