Najran vs Al-Nassr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ALW
2 - 0
NAJ
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
NAJ
0 - 0
ALQ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2009 |
ALH
5 - 0
NAJ
64%
23%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
NAJ
1 - 3
ALS
32%
28%
41%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
ALN
1 - 0
NAJ
67%
21%
12%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Nassr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
ALN
2 - 2
SUR
81%
13%
6%
|
76 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 0
ALQ
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2009 |
ALH
2 - 2
ALN
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALN
3 - 1
KHO
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2009 |
ALN
0 - 2
ALS
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |