Najran vs Al-Nahdha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
ALI
0 - 0
NAJ
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ALS
48%
25%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
ALT
2 - 0
NAJ
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2013 |
ALR
1 - 0
NAJ
46%
25%
30%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
NAJ
2 - 3
ALN
34%
27%
39%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Nahdha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2014 |
NAH
1 - 0
ALR
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2014 |
ALA
3 - 1
NAH
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2014 |
NAH
1 - 4
ALN
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 2013 |
NAH
1 - 2
ALF
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2013 |
ALS
0 - 0
NAH
55%
23%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |