Najran vs Al-Kawkab analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
17.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
NAJ
1 - 0
NAI
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MUD
2 - 0
NAJ
36%
26%
38%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
NAJ
0 - 1
ARC
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALJ
2 - 3
NAJ
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NAJ
1 - 2
ZUL
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Al-Kawkab
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ALK
3 - 1
AEC
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
ARA
2 - 0
ALK
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ALK
0 - 0
AFC
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 1
ALK
42%
28%
30%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
ALK
3 - 2
ALL
50%
26%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |