Najran vs Al-Ittihad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Najran
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
ALN
1 - 1
NAJ
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
NAJ
2 - 0
ALA
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
NAJ
1 - 1
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ALF
4 - 2
NAJ
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ALW
1 - 2
NAJ
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Al-Ittihad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ALA
2 - 0
ALI
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALA
56%
22%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ALT
3 - 3
ALI
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 1
ALI
63%
19%
17%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
1 - 0
ALW
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |