Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
ULI
0 - 1
NAI
36%
31%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 0
ULI
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 1
BAN
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
BAN
1 - 0
NAI
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIU
1 - 2
NAI
24%
28%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
KAK
1 - 1
SOF
64%
22%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 1
KAK
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TLT
0 - 0
SOF
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
SOF
1 - 2
TLT
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
SOF
45%
28%
27%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |