Nairobi City Stars vs Sofapaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
THI
1 - 0
NAI
50%
27%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
KAK
1 - 0
NAI
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
NAI
1 - 0
AFC
31%
28%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
MAT
0 - 2
NAI
62%
24%
15%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
NAI
2 - 2
GOR
19%
27%
54%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sofapaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 2
KAK
57%
24%
19%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AFC
2 - 1
SOF
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SOF
1 - 2
CHE
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
WES
1 - 0
SOF
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SOF
0 - 1
BAN
51%
26%
24%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |