Nairobi City Stars vs Nzoia Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
40.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
18º
15º
63
1º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
80% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 69 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 66 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 66 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 64 |
5º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 64 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 47 |
9º
|
98% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 43 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 37 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
34 | 35 |
15º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 33 |
16º
|
78% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 24 |
17º
|
97.5% | |
|
18º
|
12 | 13 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
80.5% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
19.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairobi City Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 2
NAI
59%
26%
16%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAI
1 - 1
BAN
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
ULI
1 - 1
NAI
52%
28%
20%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 0
TUS
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
NAI
0 - 0
KAK
28%
26%
46%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nzoia Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NZO
0 - 1
KAS
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
KAK
0 - 2
NZO
46%
27%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
AFC
1 - 0
NZO
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NZO
1 - 0
TLT
49%
27%
24%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
POS
2 - 3
NZO
27%
29%
45%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |