Nairn County vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
32.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
7º
14º
8º
48
2º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
2 - 0
WIC
78%
13%
8%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 3
NAI
22%
20%
58%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NAI
3 - 2
KEI
80%
13%
7%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BUC
6 - 0
NAI
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BRX
2 - 1
NAI
50%
21%
29%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CUM
2 - 1
TUR
11%
14%
74%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 0
TUR
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 4
TUR
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +3 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 1
SJU
28%
20%
52%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
FOR
54%
20%
26%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |