Nairn County vs Montrose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 1
NAI
70%
17%
13%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
NAI
0 - 0
BRX
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
NAI
0 - 1
FRA
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
NAI
4 - 0
THR
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
NAI
0 - 6
FOR
30%
23%
47%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -3 |
Matches
Montrose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
FAL
2 - 0
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
PET
1 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MON
4 - 0
DUM
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
AIR
0 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |