Nairn County vs Buckie Thistle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
77.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.4%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
8º
17º
8º
87
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 78.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 21.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NAI
3 - 0
BAN
20%
19%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
CLA
0 - 2
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 1
FOR
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
3 - 4
NAI
60%
19%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 1
TUR
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Buckie Thistle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
WIC
0 - 1
BUC
4%
10%
87%
|
50 | 19 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 2
DEV
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 2
BUC
4%
10%
87%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BUC
2 - 1
LOS
91%
7%
2%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
BUC
47%
22%
31%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |