Nairn County vs Brora Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
82%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.6%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.3%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.8%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
8º
17º
8º
77
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HUN
3 - 1
NAI
34%
22%
44%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAI
2 - 2
INV
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 3
DUF
67%
17%
15%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LOS
5 - 1
NAI
19%
20%
62%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | -4 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 4
FRA
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Brora Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 3
BRE
42%
25%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
STR
0 - 11
BRO
3%
9%
87%
|
50 | 14 | 36 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
FRA
2 - 2
BRO
54%
21%
25%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BFC
3 - 2
BRO
6%
10%
83%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 0
DEV
90%
8%
2%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |