Nailsea and Tickenham vs Brixham AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
46.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nailsea and Tickenham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
NAT
1 - 1
CLE
17%
18%
65%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
NAT
76%
14%
10%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 1
NAT
71%
15%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
OLD
0 - 2
NAT
25%
20%
55%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
NAT
3 - 0
WEL
59%
19%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brixham AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
BFC
6 - 0
STB
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
BFC
3 - 0
ILF
56%
20%
24%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 0
BFC
75%
14%
11%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
OLD
1 - 3
BFC
18%
19%
63%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
STB
1 - 3
BFC
46%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |