Nagykanizsa FC vs MTK Budapest II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.4%
22.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
3º
11º
3º
37
7º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
99% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
92% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
47% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
13º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
15º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
58.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAG
1 - 0
MSE
70%
17%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
NAG
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
NAG
5 - 2
SZE
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAK
4 - 6
NAG
36%
21%
43%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 5
NAG
36%
22%
42%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
MTK Budapest II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
FCD
0 - 0
MTK
37%
22%
42%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MTK
2 - 4
GVC
66%
18%
16%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
PTE
1 - 1
MTK
36%
22%
42%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
MTK
0 - 2
SZE
14%
21%
66%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
ERD
5 - 3
MTK
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |