Nagykanizsa FC vs Bonyhád Völgység analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
11.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
5º
3º
9
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
5º
|
16 | 67 |
1º
|
45.5% | |
|
1º
|
22 | 65 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 62 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 59 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 58 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 58 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
9º
|
10 | 44 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 38 |
8º
|
26% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 34 |
10º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 30 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
9 | 28 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 28 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 26 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 25 |
15º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
16º
|
40.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
10.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 67.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 32.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagykanizsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GVC
2 - 2
NAG
21%
22%
58%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 3
FCA
18%
19%
63%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 2
MTK
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
IVA
2 - 3
NAG
63%
20%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SZE
1 - 3
NAG
14%
18%
68%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Bonyhád Völgység
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BVO
1 - 3
KAP
10%
17%
73%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PTE
1 - 2
BVO
41%
22%
36%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BVO
1 - 0
MSE
40%
23%
38%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
BFC
2 - 0
BVO
79%
14%
7%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
BVO
0 - 2
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | -1 |