League Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Nagoya Grampus vs Yokohama F. Marinos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FCY
1 - 3
NAG
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
AVI
1 - 0
NAG
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 0
JUB
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
2 - 0
KAW
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NAG
3 - 0
ALB
45%
28%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Yokohama F. Marinos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
FCY
1 - 3
NAG
57%
22%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
KAR
1 - 0
FCY
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
FCY
4 - 0
ULS
67%
19%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
FCY
1 - 3
FCT
55%
22%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
FCY
5 - 1
REN
78%
15%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |