Nagoya Grampus vs Vegalta Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
21.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
KAR
1 - 2
NAG
49%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
FCY
1 - 1
NAG
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
GAM
2 - 2
NAG
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
NAG
2 - 0
JUB
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
KAA
2 - 3
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
VIS
0 - 1
VEG
32%
28%
40%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
VEG
2 - 2
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
VEG
4 - 0
JUB
47%
24%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
URA
0 - 0
VEG
37%
29%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
VEG
4 - 1
CON
74%
18%
8%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |