Nagoya Grampus vs Vegalta Sendai analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
SHI
1 - 5
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 1
FCY
51%
26%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
MON
0 - 1
NAG
24%
29%
47%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 0
KYO
70%
19%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NAG
3 - 1
GAM
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vegalta Sendai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
FCY
0 - 1
VEG
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VEG
2 - 0
MON
50%
27%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
KAA
1 - 0
VEG
60%
23%
18%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2010 |
VEG
0 - 0
JUB
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
JUB
2 - 1
VEG
49%
23%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |