Nagoya Grampus vs Urawa Reds analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2000 |
NAG
1 - 0
KAW
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2000 |
KAR
2 - 1
NAG
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2000 |
NAG
1 - 2
GAM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2000 |
SAN
4 - 0
NAG
35%
25%
40%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2000 |
NAG
0 - 1
KYO
75%
16%
8%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Urawa Reds
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1999 |
URA
1 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1999 |
TOK
2 - 2
URA
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1999 |
URA
2 - 0
SHO
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1999 |
URA
1 - 0
JEF
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
VIS
2 - 0
URA
41%
23%
36%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -2 |