Nagoya Grampus vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
OMI
0 - 2
NAG
36%
25%
40%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
NAG
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 2
GAM
41%
24%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
KAA
1 - 2
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 2
CER
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 4
VEN
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
KAA
1 - 0
TOK
84%
12%
4%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 0
FCT
15%
23%
62%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
GAM
3 - 0
TOK
82%
13%
5%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
TOK
0 - 1
VEG
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |