Nagoya Grampus vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
URA
5 - 2
NAG
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
NAG
1 - 0
KAR
42%
24%
33%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 1
TOK
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
OMI
0 - 2
NAG
36%
25%
40%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ALB
1 - 1
NAG
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
KAR
4 - 1
TOK
85%
11%
4%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 1
OMI
29%
25%
45%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
NAG
2 - 1
TOK
80%
14%
6%
|
53 | 74 | 21 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
TOK
1 - 4
VEN
24%
25%
51%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
KAA
1 - 0
TOK
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | -1 |