Nagoya Grampus vs Atletico Suzuka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.2%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
15.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.1%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.7%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NAG
1 - 2
KAA
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
NAG
5 - 3
ALB
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SHI
2 - 0
NAG
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 1
VIS
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
KAA
1 - 1
NAG
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Suzuka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SUN
1 - 0
CUN
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |