Nagoya Grampus vs SRC Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
AVI
3 - 1
NAG
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
TOK
2 - 1
NAG
70%
19%
11%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
NAG
2 - 3
ZWE
30%
27%
43%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
YOK
1 - 2
NAG
77%
17%
7%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
EHI
1 - 2
NAG
74%
19%
7%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
SRC Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SRC
1 - 0
MMM
8%
14%
77%
|
10 | 47 | 37 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SRC
0 - 4
EHI
11%
20%
68%
|
10 | 60 | 50 | 0 |