Nagoya Grampus vs Shonan Bellmare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
URA
1 - 1
NAG
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
NAG
0 - 3
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
GAM
5 - 3
NAG
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
NAG
4 - 1
JUB
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
NAG
3 - 1
JEF
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
SHO
4 - 1
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1994 |
JEF
2 - 1
SHO
49%
24%
27%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1994 |
SHO
2 - 1
SHI
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
FCY
1 - 2
SHO
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
SHO
3 - 1
KAA
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |