Nagoya Grampus vs Shimizu S-Pulse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
NAG
0 - 1
TOK
34%
24%
42%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
KAA
1 - 3
NAG
59%
21%
19%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
GAM
1 - 2
NAG
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
NAG
5 - 0
JEF
60%
21%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1995 |
SHI
1 - 3
JEF
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1995 |
JUB
3 - 2
SHI
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1995 |
SHI
3 - 1
FCY
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
SHO
0 - 4
SHI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1995 |
SHI
2 - 1
URA
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |