League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 1
NAG
34%
28%
38%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 0
TOK
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KYO
3 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
VIS
3 - 3
NAG
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
FCT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
KAR
56%
23%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
EHI
79%
14%
8%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAG
1 - 2
SAN
38%
28%
35%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
CER
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |