Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
JUB
2 - 2
NAG
68%
20%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
NAG
1 - 1
FCY
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCT
2 - 1
NAG
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
NAG
0 - 2
KAW
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
NAG
57%
24%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
OMI
0 - 1
SAN
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
FCY
2 - 1
SAN
61%
23%
17%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
CER
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
JUB
3 - 0
SAN
65%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |