Nagoya Grampus vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
JUB
0 - 3
NAG
69%
18%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
NAG
2 - 2
JEF
41%
25%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
NAG
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NAG
0 - 2
KAA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIS
2 - 1
NAG
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
FCT
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
SHI
1 - 1
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
URA
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
0 - 0
OIT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 2
JUB
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |