Nagoya Grampus vs Montedio Yamagata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
FCY
1 - 2
NAG
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
1 - 0
GIR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
NAG
3 - 1
CER
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
OMI
2 - 3
NAG
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
NAG
4 - 1
GAM
38%
24%
38%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Montedio Yamagata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 5
AVI
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 3
KYO
33%
27%
40%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
VIS
2 - 0
MON
62%
23%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MON
0 - 5
GAM
10%
19%
72%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
KAR
1 - 0
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |