Nagoya Grampus vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
6º
6º
40
5º
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 34 |
16º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
YOK
0 - 1
NAG
23%
27%
51%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
NAG
0 - 0
ROM
25%
24%
51%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CER
0 - 1
NAG
45%
27%
29%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NAG
2 - 1
FCT
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
KYO
1 - 1
NAG
26%
28%
46%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
KYO
0 - 2
KAA
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
KYO
1 - 1
ROA
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
JUB
0 - 0
KYO
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KYO
0 - 0
CER
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
KAW
3 - 1
KYO
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |