Nagoya Grampus vs JEF United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
TOK
2 - 1
NAG
42%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NAG
0 - 2
KAA
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
VIS
2 - 1
NAG
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
URA
1 - 2
NAG
63%
20%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NAG
3 - 0
HON
69%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
JEF United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
JEF
2 - 1
JUB
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2004 |
FCT
3 - 3
JEF
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
JEF
5 - 1
VIS
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
JEF
36%
24%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
FCY
2 - 1
JEF
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |