Nagoya Grampus vs Flugels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
KAA
7 - 0
NAG
66%
20%
15%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
NAG
3 - 0
VIS
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
CER
2 - 3
NAG
46%
24%
31%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAG
39%
26%
36%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Jul. 1997 |
AVI
3 - 2
NAG
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1997 |
FLU
5 - 3
KAA
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
VIS
2 - 3
FLU
34%
24%
42%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1997 |
FLU
1 - 2
CER
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 1
FLU
25%
23%
52%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
SHI
3 - 1
FLU
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -2 |