Nagoya Grampus vs Flugels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 1
KAA
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
CER
3 - 2
NAG
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
JEF
3 - 0
NAG
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
NAG
3 - 1
TOK
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
NAG
2 - 0
GAM
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Flugels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1996 |
JUB
2 - 3
FLU
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 4
URA
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 2
FCY
47%
24%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1996 |
AVI
3 - 4
FLU
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1996 |
FLU
2 - 1
KAR
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |