Nagoya Grampus vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
63.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
14.4%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 3
SHO
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
VIS
3 - 0
NAG
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
NAG
1 - 1
JUB
20%
21%
59%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NAG
5 - 0
AVI
29%
25%
47%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
VEG
1 - 2
NAG
67%
19%
14%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CER
1 - 0
FAG
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAT
1 - 2
FAG
43%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
FAG
3 - 3
THE
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SHI
2 - 1
FAG
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
FAG
1 - 2
MIT
58%
26%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |