Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 4
NAG
68%
21%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
5 - 2
MAT
23%
27%
51%
|
49 | 66 | 17 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
NAG
7 - 4
EHI
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
VAN
1 - 2
NAG
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
ROA
0 - 1
NAG
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 1
VVA
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
KYO
0 - 1
AVI
67%
22%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
AVI
71%
20%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
AVI
2 - 0
MON
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AVI
0 - 1
TOK
21%
26%
53%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |