Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
KAR
3 - 2
NAG
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
NAG
2 - 0
CON
58%
22%
20%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
SHI
2 - 1
NAG
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
FCY
2 - 0
NAG
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
NAG
1 - 1
FCT
47%
24%
30%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
AVI
2 - 3
JUB
16%
21%
63%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
KAA
4 - 1
AVI
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
AVI
1 - 0
FCT
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2001 |
AVI
1 - 1
URA
45%
25%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
JEF
3 - 0
AVI
70%
18%
13%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |