Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
FCY
1 - 2
NAG
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
NAG
2 - 1
SHO
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
NAG
1 - 2
KYO
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
JEF
1 - 2
NAG
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
TOK
2 - 0
NAG
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 2
CER
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1997 |
AVI
0 - 1
SHI
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 3
AVI
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 1997 |
FCY
4 - 1
AVI
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 1997 |
VIS
4 - 3
AVI
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |