Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2010 |
VEG
0 - 0
NAG
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
KYO
1 - 0
NAG
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 1
CER
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 3
OMI
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 4
KAA
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 0
OMI
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 4
KYO
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 0
ALB
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
ALB
3 - 1
MON
58%
24%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
SHI
0 - 2
ALB
66%
21%
13%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |