Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
NAG
2 - 1
OMI
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
KAA
1 - 0
NAG
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NAG
1 - 0
CER
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
VIS
1 - 2
NAG
29%
27%
44%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
4 - 1
NAG
39%
28%
33%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 1
VIS
61%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
JUB
1 - 1
ALB
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
2 - 1
KAA
37%
26%
36%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
ALB
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2010 |
ALB
4 - 1
NAG
39%
28%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |