Nagoya Grampus vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nagoya Grampus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAG
50%
25%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
KAA
2 - 1
NAG
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2006 |
NAG
3 - 3
GAM
32%
25%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
KAW
4 - 2
NAG
72%
17%
10%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
NAG
3 - 1
JUB
38%
26%
36%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
JUB
7 - 0
ALB
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2006 |
GAM
3 - 0
ALB
70%
17%
14%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
ALB
3 - 3
OIT
52%
25%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2006 |
URA
3 - 1
ALB
59%
21%
20%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 1
KAW
31%
25%
45%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |