Naftan Novopolotsk vs Torpedo Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
42.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
DNM
6 - 1
NAF
77%
15%
8%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
NAF
3 - 1
SLM
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
DAR
1 - 3
NAF
58%
23%
20%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
NAF
3 - 0
BEL
44%
24%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAF
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Torpedo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
TAR
2 - 3
DIN
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
TAR
2 - 0
DNM
39%
27%
34%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2004 |
SLM
2 - 2
TAR
33%
27%
41%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
TAR
1 - 0
DAR
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
BEL
0 - 1
TAR
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |