Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
15º
29
1º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
37% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 55 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 42 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 41 |
10º
|
24% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 31 |
12º
|
51.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
32% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
20% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
55.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
NAF
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
2 - 1
ISL
17%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAF
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAF
2 - 1
DNP
29%
26%
46%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
NAF
63%
22%
14%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Mozyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
MIN
59%
24%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 3
SLA
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
DNM
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
BAT
1 - 0
SLA
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SLA
0 - 1
NEM
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |