Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slavia Mozyr analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
48.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
6º
14º
14º
40
3º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ISL
5 - 1
NAF
65%
22%
13%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NAF
0 - 1
TOR
23%
28%
50%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 3
NAF
35%
26%
39%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NAF
2 - 2
FCS
46%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 2
NAF
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Slavia Mozyr
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SLA
0 - 2
BAT
31%
26%
43%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 0
SLA
33%
27%
40%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
2 - 1
ISL
33%
27%
41%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
2 - 2
SLA
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SLA
4 - 1
BEL
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |