Naftan Novopolotsk vs FK Orsha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 2
NAF
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAF
2 - 2
LID
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 2
NAF
50%
25%
25%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 4
NAF
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
NAF
3 - 2
GOM
34%
27%
39%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
FK Orsha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ORS
2 - 2
LID
47%
24%
30%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
6 - 0
ORS
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ORS
3 - 1
BAR
54%
22%
23%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
ORS
0 - 0
GOM
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 2
ORS
17%
21%
62%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | -1 |