Naftan Novopolotsk vs Slutsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
9º
15º
15º
31
6º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 62 |
1º
|
60% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 58 |
2º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 57 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 53 |
4º
|
46.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 46 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 43 |
7º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 42 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 40 |
10º
|
27.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 32 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 28 |
13º
|
27.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 27 |
14º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 25 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
16º
|
69.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
23% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
52% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKA
0 - 3
NAF
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 1
SLA
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
NAF
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
NAF
2 - 1
ISL
17%
24%
60%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAF
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Slutsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
1 - 0
MIN
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
FCS
4 - 1
FKS
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
FKS
0 - 5
DNM
26%
26%
48%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
BAT
6 - 0
FKS
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 0
NEM
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |