Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dnepr Mogilev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NEM
1 - 0
NAF
35%
29%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
NAF
1 - 1
VIT
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
NAF
2 - 1
PMI
46%
24%
30%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
BAT
2 - 0
NAF
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
NAF
1 - 3
MIN
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
DNP
0 - 4
SHA
24%
27%
49%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DNM
4 - 1
DNP
64%
22%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DNP
0 - 2
DIN
43%
28%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
DNP
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
NEM
1 - 1
DNP
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |