Naftan Novopolotsk vs Dinamo Minsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
51.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
15º
14º
68
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naftan Novopolotsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DNP
0 - 3
NAF
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
1 - 1
TOR
25%
29%
47%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
0 - 0
NEM
21%
25%
54%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
GOM
2 - 1
NAF
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
NAF
3 - 6
DIN
20%
24%
55%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Minsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
DNM
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
DNM
1 - 2
HOM
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 0
ISL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
DNM
2 - 0
MIN
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 0
DNM
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |